Preliminary Class 8 net orders rose 40% in May—but still remain 47% below last year’s levels
North American Class 8 preliminary net orders showed signs of life in May, increasing 40% month-over-month. However, the 12,000-unit total remains well below historical norms—47% lower than May 2024 and the weakest May showing since 2020. Through May, orders for the past 12 months stand at 260,355 units.
Key Takeaways:
- Month-over-month improvement: Orders up 40% from April’s unusually low level.
- Year-over-year decline: Down 47% from May 2024; well below the seven-year May average of 18,319 units.
- Cumulative weakness: Net orders are down 32% year-to-date, with retail sales down 11% through April.
The Role of Tariffs and Regulatory Uncertainty
This slight uptick may reflect short-term relief from recently adjusted tariffs—particularly the steep rollback on Chinese imports, where duties were reduced from 145% to 30%. However, broader instability remains:
- Tariff-related disruptions: Ongoing legal challenges and retaliatory actions from key trading partners like China continue to cloud purchasing confidence.
- Potential new tariffs: Section 232 tariffs under discussion could directly affect truck components and final assemblies.
- Upcoming EPA 2027 NOx standards: Environmental regulations on the horizon are adding a long-term layer of complexity to equipment investment decisions.
“Tariff volatility and uncertainty over the economy and the truck freight market continue to disrupt the North American Class 8 truck and tractor market,” noted Dan Moyer, FTR Senior Analyst, Commercial Vehicles.
Industry Outlook: Delayed Decisions, Heightened Caution
Fleet buyers appear to be in a holding pattern. With cost variables still unsettled—from tariffs to regulations—many are pushing major capital decisions further down the road. The result? A cautious market where even momentary rebounds are tempered by broader macroeconomic and geopolitical risks.
🔍 For more insight, visit the FTR Class 8 Truck Orders Chart
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