Skip to content
forecasting SCI

U.S. Trailer Net Orders Fell Sharply in May to 6,738 Units

Dan Moyer, Sr. Analyst, Commerical Vehicles
Dan Moyer, Sr. Analyst, Commerical Vehicles |
U.S. Trailer Net Orders Fell Sharply in May to 6,738 Units
2:34

U.S. trailer net orders dropped 34% in May to 6,738 units—well beyond typical seasonal softening—according to the latest data from FTR. While the year-over-year comparison was slightly positive (+3%) due to weak orders in May 2024, the broader trend signals a challenging environment for trailer OEMs and fleets alike.

Key Metrics at a Glance

  • 📉 May Net Orders: 6,738 units (–34% m/m; +3% y/y)
  • 📦 Order Cancellations: 37.6% of gross orders, the highest in 12 months
  • 🏗 Trailer Builds: 16,958 units (–4% m/m; –24% y/y)
  • 🗂 Backlogs: Down 11,376 units to 108,955 (–9% m/m; –16% y/y)
  • 📊 Backlog/Build Ratio: Now at 6.4 months

The sharp rise in cancellations—nearly doubling from April’s 20%—highlights growing fleet hesitation in response to mounting uncertainty. Net orders for the current 2025 order cycle (Sept–May) now total 161,657 units, down 10% from the prior year.

Tariff Shock and Cost Pressures Weigh on Fleets

Dan Moyer croppedFTR Senior Analyst Dan Moyer points to rising tariffs as a key disruptor:

“The ever-evolving tariff environment continues to disrupt the U.S. trailer market. The increase in tariffs on steel, aluminum, and fabricated components to 50% on June 4 will significantly increase production costs for OEMs/suppliers, putting further downside pressure on trailer demand.”

While recent reductions in Chinese import tariffs may offer some relief, country-specific tariffs and emergency powers-based duties add layers of complexity. Moyer continues:

“OEMs and suppliers face pressure to either absorb rising costs or pass some or all of them on to fleets, potentially impacting fleet expansion and maintenance strategies. As a result, some fleets may delay new trailer purchases or turn to refurbished and alternative options. Potential consequences include heightened market price sensitivity, extended trailer lifecycles, and a shifting of some demand toward used equipment or alternative configurations.”

Context and Implications

Fleets are navigating a turbulent mix of macroeconomic pressure, legal uncertainties around tariffs, and production cost spikes. The May figures offer a stark reminder that policy changes can ripple quickly across the freight equipment landscape.

📈 View accompanying chart: FTR Trailer Orders

The most comprehensive view of the commercial vehicle landscape.  Download a sample today!

Stay Ahead of the Curve with Our Trucking Podcast with Avery Vise!
Your go-to source for expert insights, industry trends, and actionable strategies in the trucking industry. Tune in weekly and drive your business forward!

Trailer market shifting fast? Schedule a Market Update Call with Dan Moyer to get expert insights on how tariffs, cancellations, and production trends could impact your fleet strategy.
Want to learn more about Dan Moyer?  Check out this blog where Dan talks about his background.

 

Share this post