Watch consumers, supply chains, and the pandemic, of course.
A year ago, we were forecasting a solid 2021, but forecast risks appeared to be mostly to the downside. In some cases, we correctly predicted a result but did not anticipate the cause. For example, recovery in employment was slowing, but the issue seemed to be one of weak demand, not tight supply.
Prospects for 2022 are bright, as the global economy recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic and loss of economic activity associated with the shutdowns of key economic drivers, aimed to slow the spread of the disease.
U.S. payroll job growth was weak in December, but the labor market is complicated.
• Job openings remain near record levels as job quits set a record.
• Truck spot rates set a record to end 2021.
• Nearly 110,000 new trucking companies entered the market in 2021.
• Rail and intermodal volumes see typical movements during the holidays.
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