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Enemy No. 1: Inflation

If economists and central bankers had a “Public Enemy” category, like INTERPOL or the FBI do, inflation would undoubtedly be elected the No. 1 enemy of the people.

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Forecast risks abound heading into 2022

Watch consumers, supply chains, and the pandemic, of course.

A year ago, we were forecasting a solid 2021, but forecast risks appeared to be mostly to the downside. In some cases, we correctly predicted a result but did not anticipate the cause. For example, recovery in employment was slowing, but the issue seemed to be one of weak demand, not tight supply.

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Ake's Take: Are the Fears Inflated?

You’ve probably seen the headlines about some economists becoming increasingly concerned about inflation. So, should we be concerned?  (Note: please keep reading. This is not one of those in-depth analysis involving T-bills and yield-curves, but more of a big picture, horse-sense type of view.)

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