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Monday Morning Coffee: Tensions rise as Omicron spreads

The past week was busy with economic news as tensions mounted surrounding the emergence of the Omicron variant. In the wake of a new public health risk, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony at the Senate’s Banking Committee signaled a possible early end to its bond-buying process, which is currently set to wrap up mid-2022. The change in the Chairman’s tone and the words in his comments put markets on high alert for the mid-December FMOC meeting, where inflation, interest rate policy, and the Omicron variant’s impact will be discussed. At this point, it is hard to judge to a full extent what the public health risks are and how much they will weigh on economic policy. After all, each wave of the COVID virus has had a less economic impact than the last wave. The next few months will be crucial to shaping projections for next year, as we learn which aspects of the variant are similar and different from what we have encountered previously.

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Class 8 Truck & Trailer Preliminary Orders

We work with OEMs to produce industry assessments for preliminary Class 8 Truck orders and Trailer orders for industry-wide consumption.

We provide in-depth market analysis and forecasting in our Truck & Trailer Outlook intelligence service.

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Intermodal at a glance | November 2021

The outlook for intermodal dimmed this month as it appears volumes will hold at present levels through the end of the year. There is demand to move more goods via intermodal, but congestion and metering by the carriers are limiting how high volumes can go. The existing thinking is that volumes will not improve meaningfully until the mid-to-late-first quarter at the earliest.


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Transportation Update | U.S. Economy

Highlights

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C-Suite Synopsis: Freight Transportation for November 2021

Headlines

TRUCKING: Strengthening freight rates support a high floor on market conditions for carriers.

RAILCAR: The 2021 carload outlook took another step down in the latest month and now sits at just over 5% compared with 2020. 

INTERMODAL: International and domestic traffic each weakened in September as volumes are metered by providers. 

SHIPPERS: Market conditions are stalled at a level unfavorable to shippers. 

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